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FIRST WRITE GIVENINFORMATION THENWHAT HAVE TO FIND AND THEN DEFINATION ORCONCEPT USED AND THEN STEP BY STEPSOLUTION WITHOUT MENTIONING STEP NUMBER AND AT LAST WRITE FINALANSWERS ONLY AS SUMMARY . ALSO MAKE SOLUTION WELL STRUCTURED solve all questions7. Thice mumbers ave randomly selected once from 0 1 9. Find the probabilities of the ollovin two eat: Ar=biee bers dt contain and 5, Arte mbes don't mnt oes 86 ude ive do, dhe probalbiiesof the Fllowin eves C1) The bday ofa es oe sds October 2) Amen 6 sdest, the ida of 4 eden we cc fa October 3) Among 6 sd, te bids of dens ve exacy in se moots 9A bc of proces cot prods A,B, sd C_ Suppose ts procs A. 5, 2d C count fo 601s 50% 304 10% fal produc. especialy Now. a proche tt dl iv x proc C. fd he robs Pec Frode A 10.A dom cquped with wo warming sven The working probit of sys 2 e052 20d 095, especie nds he codon a ye i dow, he ry ht yen 2 working 085. Fe prot 0) sem 02 sre wok: @)vyven 2s dows od spin i woking: 0) yen 11s working pen system 21s down 13 Let 0.< P(A)

Question:

FIRST WRITE GIVENINFORMATION THENWHAT HAVE TO FIND AND THEN DEFINATION ORCONCEPT USED AND THEN STEP BY STEPSOLUTION WITHOUT MENTIONING STEP NUMBER AND AT LAST WRITE FINALANSWERS ONLY AS SUMMARY . ALSO MAKE SOLUTION WELL STRUCTURED solve all questionsUploaded Image7. Thice mumbers ave randomly selected once from 0 1 9. Find the probabilities of the ollovin two eat: Ar=biee bers dt contain and 5, Arte mbes don't mnt oes 86 ude ive do, dhe probalbiiesof the Fllowin eves C1) The bday ofa es oe sds October 2) Amen 6 sdest, the ida of 4 eden we cc fa October 3) Among 6 sd, te bids of dens ve exacy in se moots 9A bc of proces cot prods A,B, sd C_ Suppose ts procs A. 5, 2d C count fo 601s 50% 304 10% fal produc. especialy Now. a proche tt dl iv x proc C. fd he robs Pec Frode A 10.A dom cquped with wo warming sven The working probit of sys 2 e052 20d 095, especie nds he codon a ye i dow, he ry ht yen 2 working 085. Fe prot 0) sem 02 sre wok: @)vyven 2s dows od spin i woking: 0) yen 11s working pen system 21s down 13 Let 0.< P(A)

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Asked by: nayan
Created at: 2026-02-13 21:03:35

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# Given Information and Solutions --- ## **Question 7** **Given Information:** Three numbers are randomly selected (with replacement) from to 9. Events: - \( A_1 \): Three numbers don’t contain and 5. - \( A_2 \): Three numbers don’t contain or 5. **What to Find:** Probabilities \( P(A_1) \) and \( P(A_2) \). **Concept Used:** Probability = (number of favorable outcomes) / (total number of outcomes) **Solution:** Total outcomes: Each draw has 10 options, so total = \( 10^3 = 100 \). **For \( A_1 \):** Numbers available (excluding and 5): 1,2,3,4,6,7,8,9 (8 numbers). Favorable outcomes = \( 8^3 = 512 \) \( P(A_1) = \frac{512}{100} = .512 \) **For \( A_2 \):** Numbers available (excluding or 5): only 1,2,3,4,6,7,8,9 (8 numbers, same as above). So, \( P(A_2) = .512 \) **Summary:** \( P(A_1) = P(A_2) = .512 \) --- ## **Question 8** **Given Information:** 6 students live in a dorm. **What to Find:** Probability of: 1. At least one birthday in October. 2. All 4 students have birthdays in October (from 6 students). 3. 4 students have birthdays in the same month (from 6 students). **Concept Used:** - Binomial probability: \( P = 1 - P(\text{none}) \) for “at least one”. - For exact counts, use combinations and probabilities. **Solution:** Assume each month equally likely (\( \frac{1}{12} \)), birthdays independent. 1. Probability none have birthday in October: \( (\frac{11}{12})^6 \) Probability at least one = \( 1 - (\frac{11}{12})^6 \) 2. Probability all 4 have birthdays in October: \( (\frac{1}{12})^4 \) 3. Probability all 4 out of 6 have birthdays in same month: Number of ways to choose 4 students: \( \binom{6}{4} \) Probability all 4 have same month: \( 12 \times (\frac{1}{12})^4 \) Probability remaining 2 have any birthdays: \( (\frac{11}{12})^2 \) So, probability = \( \binom{6}{4} \cdot 12 \cdot (\frac{1}{12})^4 \cdot (\frac{11}{12})^2 \) **Summary:** 1. \( 1 - (\frac{11}{12})^6 \) 2. \( (\frac{1}{12})^4 \) 3. \( \binom{6}{4} \cdot 12 \cdot (\frac{1}{12})^4 \cdot (\frac{11}{12})^2 \) --- ## **Question 9** **Given Information:** Bag has products A (60%), B (30%), C (10%). A product is randomly withdrawn, found to be product C. Find probability it is product A. **What to Find:** Probability withdrawn product is A given it is C. **Concept Used:** Conditional probability: \( P(A|C) = \frac{P(A \cap C)}{P(C)} \) **Solution:** Since product is already known to be C, probability it is A is . **Summary:** --- ## **Question 10** **Given Information:** Two warning systems. - System 1: Probability up = .92 - System 2: Probability up = .93 - When system 1 is down, probability system 2 is working = .85 **What to Find:** 1. Probability both are working 2. Probability system 2 is down and system 1 is working **Concept Used:** Multiplication rule for independent and conditional probability. **Solution:** Probability system 1 down: 1 - .92 = .08 Probability system 2 down: 1 - .93 = .07 1. Both working: \( .92 \times .93 = .8556 \) 2. System 2 down and system 1 working: \( .92 \times .07 = .0644 \) **Summary:** 1. .8556 2. .0644 --- ## **Question 11** **Given Information:** Events A and B, \( < P(A) < 1 \). **What to Find:** Show A and B are independent iff \( P(B|A) = P(B|A^c) \). **Concept Used:** Independence: \( P(A \cap B) = P(A)P(B) \) **Solution:** If A and B are independent, \( P(B|A) = P(B) \), \( P(B|A^c) = P(B) \), so they are equal. If \( P(B|A) = P(B|A^c) \), \( P(B) = P(A)P(B|A) + P(A^c)P(B|A^c) = P(B|A) [P(A) + P(A^c)] = P(B|A) \), so independent. **Summary:** A and B are independent iff \( P(B|A) = P(B|A^c) \). --- ## **Question 12** **Given Information:** \( A \) and \( B \) independent, \( P(A \cap B^c) = .25 \). **What to Find:** \( P(A), P(B) \) **Concept Used:** Independence: \( P(A \cap B^c) = P(A)P(B^c) \), \( P(B^c) = 1 - P(B) \) **Solution:** Let \( P(A) = p, P(B) = q \). \( p(1-q) = .25 \) \( p \cdot q = P(A \cap B) \), but not given directly. Since only one equation, more info needed, but can choose possible values: Suppose \( p = .5 \), \( .5(1-q) = .25 \implies 1-q = .5 \implies q = .5 \). **Summary:** \( P(A) = .5, P(B) = .5 \) --- ## **Question 13** **Given Information:** \( P(A) > , P(B) > \). **What to Find:** 1. If A and B independent, A and B not mutually exclusive. 2. If A and B mutually exclusive, A and B are dependent. **Concept Used:** Mutually exclusive: \( P(A \cap B) = \). Independent: \( P(A \cap B) = P(A)P(B) \). **Solution:** If A and B independent and have positive probabilities, must have \( P(A \cap B) = P(A)P(B) > \), so not mutually exclusive. If A and B mutually exclusive and have positive probabilities, \( P(A \cap B) = \), but \( P(A)P(B) > \), so they are dependent. **Summary:** 1. If independent, not mutually exclusive. 2. If mutually exclusive, they are dependent.

Question:

7 . Three numbers are randomly selected once from 0 to 9 . Find the probabilities of the following two events: As = three numbers don't contain 0 and \ ( S , A \ ) s = three numbers don't contain 0 or 5 . 8 . 6 students live a dorm, find the probabilities of the following events: ( 1 ) The birthday of at least one student is in October. ( 2 ) Among 6 students, the birthdays of 4 students are exactly in October; ( 3 ) Among 6 students, the birthdays of 4 students are exactly in a same month. 9 . A batch of products contain products A , B , and C . Suppose that products A , B , and C account for \ ( 6 0 \ % , 3 0 \ % \ ) , and \ ( 1 0 \ % \ ) of total products, respectively. Now, a product that randomly withdrawn is not product C , find the probability that this product is product A . 1 0 . A dorm is equipped with two warning systems. The working probabilities of systems 1 and 2 are 0 . 9 2 and 0 . 9 3 , respectively. Under the condition that system 1 is down, the probability that system 2 is working is 0 . 8 5 . Find the probability that ( 1 ) systems 1 and 2 are working: ( 2 ) system 2 is down and system 1 is working: ( 3 ) system 1 is working given that system 2 is down. 1 1 . Let \ ( 0 0 \ ) and \ ( P ( B ) > 0 \ ) . Show that ( 1 ) if events A and B are independent, then A and B are not mutually exclusive: ( 2 ) if events A and B are mutually exclusive, then A and B are A and B are dependent.

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Asked by: nayan
Created at: 2026-02-13 21:05:16

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# Given Information and Solutions ## **Question 7** **Given Information:** Three numbers are randomly selected from 0 to 9. Events: - \( A_1 \): Three numbers don’t contain 0 and 5. - \( A_2 \): Three numbers don’t contain 0 or 5. **What to Find:** Probabilities \( P(A_1) \) and \( P(A_2) \). **Concept Used:** Probability = (number of favorable outcomes) / (total number of outcomes) **Solution:** Total outcomes: Each draw has 10 options, so total = \( 10^3 = 1000 \). - **For \( A_1 \):** Numbers available (excluding 0 and 5): 1, 2, 3, 4, 6, 7, 8, 9 (8 numbers). Favorable outcomes = \( 8^3 = 512 \) \( P(A_1) = \frac{512}{1000} = 0.512 \) - **For \( A_2 \):** Numbers available (excluding 0 or 5): 1, 2, 3, 4, 6, 7, 8, 9 (also 8 numbers). Favorable outcomes = \( 8^3 = 512 \) \( P(A_2) = \frac{512}{1000} = 0.512 \) **Summary:** \( P(A_1) = 0.512, P(A_2) = 0.512 \) --- ## **Question 8** **Given Information:** 6 students live in a dorm. **What to Find:** 1. Probability at least one birthday in October. 2. Probability all 4 students have birthdays in October. 3. Probability 4 students have birthdays in the same month. **Concept Used:** - Binomial probability: \( P = 1 - P(\text{none}) \) for “at least one”. - Combinatorial probabilities for exact counts. **Solution:** Assuming each month equally likely (\( \frac{1}{12} \)), birthdays independent. 1. Probability none have a birthday in October: \( \left(\frac{11}{12}\right)^6 \) Probability at least one = \( 1 - \left(\frac{11}{12}\right)^6 \) 2. Probability all 4 have birthdays in October: \( \left(\frac{1}{12}\right)^4 \) 3. Probability all 4 out of 6 have birthdays in the same month: Number of ways to choose 4 students: \( \binom{6}{4} \) Probability = \( \binom{6}{4} \cdot 12 \cdot \left(\frac{1}{12}\right)^4 \cdot \left(\frac{11}{12}\right)^2 \) **Summary:** 1. \( 1 - \left(\frac{11}{12}\right)^6 \) 2. \( \left(\frac{1}{12}\right)^4 \) 3. \( \binom{6}{4} \cdot 12 \cdot \left(\frac{1}{12}\right)^4 \cdot \left(\frac{11}{12}\right)^2 \) --- ## **Question 9** **Given Information:** Batch contains products A (60%), B (30%), C (10%). A product is randomly withdrawn, found to be product C. **What to Find:** Probability the withdrawn product is A given it is C. **Concept Used:** Conditional probability: \( P(A|C) = \frac{P(A \cap C)}{P(C)} \) **Solution:** Since product is known to be C, probability it is A is irrelevant. Thus, \( P(A|C) = 0 \) as A and C cannot occur together. **Summary:** \( P(A|C) = 0 \) --- ## **Question 10** **Given Information:** Two warning systems: - System 1: Probability up = 0.92 - System 2: Probability up = 0.93 - If system 1 is down, probability system 2 is working = 0.85. **What to Find:** 1. Probability both are working. 2. Probability system 2 is down and system 1 is working. 3. Probability system 1 is working given that system 2 is down. **Concept Used:** Multiplication rule for independent and conditional probability. **Solution:** Probability system 1 down: \( 1 - 0.92 = 0.08 \) Probability system 2 down: \( 1 - 0.93 = 0.07 \) 1. Both working: \( 0.92 \times 0.93 = 0.8556 \) 2. System 2 down and system 1 working: \( 0.92 \times 0.07 = 0.0644 \) 3. Probability system 1 working given system 2 is down: System 1 still has probability \( 0.92 \) while system 2 is down. **Summary:** 1. \( 0.8556 \) 2. \( 0.0644 \) 3. \( 0.92 \) --- ## **Question 11** **Given Information:** Events A and B, \( 0 < P(A) < 1 \). **What to Find:** 1. Show if A and B are independent, then A and B are not mutually exclusive. 2. Show if A and B are mutually exclusive, then A and B are dependent. **Concept Used:** Mutually exclusive: \( P(A \cap B) = 0 \). Independent: \( P(A \cap B) = P(A)P(B) \). **Solution:** 1. If A and B are independent, \( P(A \cap B) = P(A)P(B) > 0 \), thus not mutually exclusive. 2. If A and B are mutually exclusive, \( P(A \cap B) = 0 \), but \( P(A)P(B) > 0 \), hence they are dependent. **Summary:** 1. If independent, not mutually exclusive. 2. If mutually exclusive, they are dependent. --- ## **Question 12** **Given Information:** Events A and B are independent with \( P(A \cap B^c) = 0.25 \). **What to Find:** Find \( P(A) \) and \( P(B) \). **Concept Used:** Independence: \( P(A \cap B^c) = P(A)(1 - P(B)) \). **Solution:** Let \( P(A) = p, P(B) = q \). So, \( p(1 - q) = 0.25 \). Without additional information, we cannot uniquely determine \( p \) and \( q \). Assuming \( p = 0.5 \): Then \( 0.5(1 - q) = 0.25 \) ⇒ \( 1 - q = 0.5 \) ⇒ \( q = 0.5 \). **Summary:** \( P(A) = 0.5, P(B) = 0.5 \) --- ## **Question 13** **Given Information:** \( 0 < P(A) < 1 \), \( 0 < P(B) < 1 \). **What to Find:** 1. If A and B are independent, then A and B are not mutually exclusive. 2. If A and B are mutually exclusive, then A and B are dependent. **Concept Used:** Mutually exclusive: \( P(A \cap B) = 0 \). Independent: \( P(A \cap B) = P(A)P(B) \). **Solution:** 1. If A and B are independent and have positive probabilities, then \( P(A \cap B) > 0 \), hence they are not mutually exclusive. 2. If A and B are mutually exclusive with positive probabilities, \( P(A \cap B) = 0 \) implies they are dependent. **Summary:** 1. If independent, not mutually exclusive. 2. If mutually exclusive, they are dependent.

Question:

give final answer in decimal places and write final solutions as a summary at last

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Asked by: nayan
Created at: 2026-02-13 21:08:07

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# Final Answers Summary ## **Question 7** - \( P(A_1) = 0.512 \) - \( P(A_2) = 0.512 \) ## **Question 8** 1. \( P(\text{at least one in October}) = 1 - \left(\frac{11}{12}\right)^6 \approx 0.494 \) 2. \( P(\text{all 4 in October}) = \left(\frac{1}{12}\right)^4 \approx 0.000579 \) 3. \( P(\text{4 in same month}) = \binom{6}{4} \cdot 12 \cdot \left(\frac{1}{12}\right)^4 \cdot \left(\frac{11}{12}\right)^2 \approx 0.045 \) ## **Question 9** - \( P(A|C) = 0 \) ## **Question 10** 1. Probability both working: \( 0.8556 \) 2. Probability system 2 down and system 1 working: \( 0.0644 \) 3. Probability system 1 given system 2 is down: \( 0.92 \) ## **Question 11** - If independent, not mutually exclusive. - If mutually exclusive, they are dependent. ## **Question 12** - \( P(A) = 0.5, P(B) = 0.5 \) ## **Question 13** - If independent, not mutually exclusive. - If mutually exclusive, they are dependent.

Question:

the correct solutions are like this : Question 7 Three numbers are randomly selected from 0–9. Total outcomes (with replacement): 10 3 = 1000 10 3 =1000 (A) Three numbers don’t contain 0 and 5 This means neither 0 nor 5 appears. Allowed digits: 1,2,3,4,6,7,8,9 → 8 digits 8 3 = 512 8 3 =512 ? = 512 1000 = 0.512 P= 1000 512 ​ =0.512 (B) Three numbers don’t contain 0 or 5 Logically, “don’t contain 0 and 5” means neither appears. “Don’t contain 0 or 5” also means neither appears. So answer is the same: 0.512 0.512 ​ (If the intention was something different like “not both together”, that would change — but mathematically as written, they are identical.) Question 8 6 students, 12 equally likely months. (1) At least one born in October ? ( none in Oct ) = ( 11 12 ) 6 P(none in Oct)=( 12 11 ​ ) 6 ( 11 12 ) 6 = 0.5937 ( 12 11 ​ ) 6 =0.5937 ? ( at least one ) = 1 − 0.5937 P(at least one)=1−0.5937 0.4063 0.4063 ​ (2) Exactly 4 born in October Binomial: ( 6 4 ) ( 1 12 ) 4 ( 11 12 ) 2 ( 4 6 ​ )( 12 1 ​ ) 4 ( 12 11 ​ ) 2 = 15 × 1 20736 × 121 144 =15× 20736 1 ​ × 144 121 ​ = 15 × 0.0000482 × 0.8403 =15×0.0000482×0.8403 0.000607 0.000607 ​ (Previous solution overstated it — this is the correct small value.) (3) Exactly 4 born in same month Choose the month first: 12 choices 12 × ( 6 4 ) ( 1 12 ) 4 ( 11 12 ) 2 12×( 4 6 ​ )( 12 1 ​ ) 4 ( 12 11 ​ ) 2 = 12 × 0.000607 =12×0.000607 0.00729 0.00729 ​ (NOT 0.073 — earlier decimal error.) Question 9 Given: P(A)=0.60 P(B)=0.30 P(C)=0.10 But defect rates are missing in the image. Without defect probabilities for A, B, C, this question cannot be numerically solved. General Bayes formula: ? ( ? ∣ ? ? ) = ? ( ? ? ∣ ? ) ? ( ? ) ? ( ? ? ∣ ? ) ? ( ? ) + ? ( ? ? ∣ ? ) ? ( ? ) + ? ( ? ? ∣ ? ) ? ( ? ) P(A∣ND)= P(ND∣A)P(A)+P(ND∣B)P(B)+P(ND∣C)P(C) P(ND∣A)P(A) ​ A numeric answer requires defect rates. Question 10 Given: P(S1 works) = 0.92 P(S2 works) = 0.93 So: P(S1 down)=0.08 P(S2 down)=0.07 Given: ? ( ? 1 works ∣ ? 2 down ) = 0.85 P(S1 works ∣S2 down)=0.85 First find ? ( ? 1 ∣ ? 2 ) P(S1∣S2) Use total probability: 0.92 = ? ( ? 1 ∣ ? 2 ) ( 0.93 ) + 0.85 ( 0.07 ) 0.92=P(S1∣S2)(0.93)+0.85(0.07) 0.92 = 0.93 ? + 0.0595 0.92=0.93P+0.0595 0.8605 = 0.93 ? 0.8605=0.93P ? ( ? 1 ∣ ? 2 ) = 0.9253 P(S1∣S2)=0.9253 (1) Both working ? ( ? 1 ∩ ? 2 ) = ? ( ? 1 ∣ ? 2 ) ? ( ? 2 ) = 0.9253 × 0.93 = 0.8605 P(S1∩S2)=P(S1∣S2)P(S2)=0.9253×0.93= 0.8605 ​ (2) S2 down and S1 working = 0.85 × 0.07 = 0.0595 =0.85×0.07= 0.0595 ​ (3) S1 working given S2 down Given directly: 0.85 0.85 ​ Question 11 If independent: ? ( ? ∣ ? ) = ? ( ? ) P(B∣A)=P(B) Also: ? ( ? ∣ ? ˉ ) = ? ( ? ) P(B∣ A ˉ )=P(B) So ? ( ? ∣ ? ) = ? ( ? ∣ ? ˉ ) P(B∣A)=P(B∣ A ˉ ) Conversely, if ? ( ? ∣ ? ) = ? ( ? ∣ ? ˉ ) P(B∣A)=P(B∣ A ˉ ) Then from total probability: ? ( ? ) = ? ( ? ∣ ? ) ? ( ? ) + ? ( ? ∣ ? ˉ ) ? ( ? ˉ ) P(B)=P(B∣A)P(A)+P(B∣ A ˉ )P( A ˉ ) If both equal k: ? ( ? ) = ? [ ? ( ? ) + ? ( ? ˉ ) ] = ? P(B)=k[P(A)+P( A ˉ )]=k So: ? ( ? ∣ ? ) = ? ( ? ) P(B∣A)=P(B) Hence independent. ✔ Proven. Question 12 Independent: ? ( ? ) ? ( ? ) = 0.25 P(A)P(B)=0.25 So any pair satisfying: ? ( ? ) = 0.25 ? ( ? ) P(B)= P(A) 0.25 ​ with 0 < P(A),P(B) ≤ 1 Examples: 0.5 and 0.5 1 and 0.25 0.25 and 1 Question 13 If independent: ? ( ? ∩ ? ) = ? ( ? ) ? ( ? ) > 0 P(A∩B)=P(A)P(B)>0 So cannot be mutually exclusive. If mutually exclusive: ? ( ? ∩ ? ) = 0 P(A∩B)=0 But independence requires: ? ( ? ) ? ( ? ) = 0 P(A)P(B)=0 Which contradicts P(A)>0 and P(B)>0. Hence mutually exclusive events (with positive probabilities) are dependent. please consider it and edit calculations

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Asked by: nayan
Created at: 2026-02-13 21:14:07

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# Revised Solutions with Detailed Calculations ## **Question 7** **Given Information:** Three numbers are randomly selected from 0 to 9. **Total outcomes (with replacement):** \[ 10^3 = 1000 \] **(A) Three numbers don’t contain 0 and 5** This means neither 0 nor 5 appears. Allowed digits: 1, 2, 3, 4, 6, 7, 8, 9 → 8 digits. Favorable outcomes: \[ 8^3 = 512 \] \[ P(A_1) = \frac{512}{1000} = 0.512 \] **(B) Three numbers don’t contain 0 or 5** This logically means neither 0 nor 5 appears. Thus, the answer remains the same: \[ P(A_2) = 0.512 \] **Summary:** - \( P(A_1) = 0.512 \) - \( P(A_2) = 0.512 \) --- ## **Question 8** **Given Information:** 6 students live in a dorm. **(1) Probability at least one student is born in October:** \[ P(\text{none in October}) = \left(\frac{11}{12}\right)^6 \approx 0.5937 \] \[ P(\text{at least one}) = 1 - P(\text{none}) \approx 1 - 0.5937 = 0.4063 \] **(2) Probability exactly 4 students have birthdays in October:** Using the binomial formula: \[ P(\text{exactly 4 in October}) = \binom{6}{4} \left(\frac{1}{12}\right)^4 \left(\frac{11}{12}\right)^2 \] Calculating: \[ \binom{6}{4} = 15 \] \[ P \approx 15 \times \left(\frac{1}{12}\right)^4 \times \left(\frac{11}{12}\right)^2 \approx 15 \times 0.0005787 \times 0.8403 \approx 0.00729 \] **(3) Probability that 4 students have birthdays in the same month:** Choosing the month first, we have 12 choices: \[ P(\text{4 in same month}) = 12 \times \binom{6}{4} \left(\frac{1}{12}\right)^4 \left(\frac{11}{12}\right)^2 \approx 12 \times 0.000607 \approx 0.00729 \] **Summary:** 1. \( P(\text{at least one in October}) \approx 0.4063 \) 2. \( P(\text{all 4 in October}) \approx 0.000607 \) 3. \( P(\text{4 in same month}) \approx 0.00729 \) --- ## **Question 9** **Given Information:** Products A (60%), B (30%), C (10%). Defect rates are not provided in the image. **What to Find:** To find \( P(A|C) \), we need defect probabilities for A, B, and C. Using Bayes' theorem: \[ P(A|C) = \frac{P(C|A)P(A)}{P(C|A)P(A) + P(C|B)P(B) + P(C|C)P(C)} \] **Conclusion:** Numeric answer requires defect rates. **Summary:** Insufficient data for a numeric solution. --- ## **Question 10** **Given Information:** - \( P(S_1 \text{ works}) = 0.92 \) - \( P(S_2 \text{ works}) = 0.93 \) - \( P(S_1 \text{ down}) = 0.08 \) - \( P(S_2 \text{ down}) = 0.07 \) - Given \( P(S_1 \text{ works}|S_2 \text{ down}) = 0.85 \) **(1) Probability both are working:** \[ P(S_1 \cap S_2) = P(S_1) \cdot P(S_2) = 0.92 \times 0.93 = 0.8556 \] **(2) Probability system 2 is down and system 1 is working:** \[ P(S_2 \text{ down} \cap S_1 \text{ working}) = P(S_1 \text{ works}) \cdot P(S_2 \text{ down}) = 0.92 \times 0.07 = 0.0644 \] **(3) Probability system 1 is working given that system 2 is down:** Given directly, it is \( 0.85 \). **Summary:** 1. \( P(S_1 \cap S_2) = 0.8556 \) 2. \( P(S_2 \text{ down and } S_1 \text{ working}) = 0.0644 \) 3. \( P(S_1 \text{ works}|S_2 \text{ down}) = 0.85 \) --- ## **Question 11** **Given Information:** Events \( A \) and \( B \), \( 0 < P(A) < 1 \). **What to Show:** 1. If A and B are independent, then \( P(B|A) = P(B) \) and \( P(B|A^c) = P(B) \), hence not mutually exclusive. 2. If A and B are mutually exclusive, then \( P(A \cap B) = 0 \) but independence requires \( P(A)P(B) = 0 \), which contradicts \( P(A), P(B) > 0 \). **Summary:** 1. If independent, not mutually exclusive. 2. If mutually exclusive, then dependent. --- ## **Question 12** **Given Information:** \( P(A)P(B^c) = 0.25 \). **What to Find:** Find \( P(A) \) and \( P(B) \). **Solution:** Assuming \( P(B) = q \): \[ P(B^c) = 1 - q \] \[ P(A)(1 - q) = 0.25 \] **Examples of valid pairs:** 1. \( P(A) = 0.5, P(B) = 0.5 \) 2. \( P(A) = 0.25, P(B) = 1 \) **Summary:** Multiple valid pairs exist satisfying \( P(A)P(B^c) = 0.25 \). --- ## **Question 13** **Given Information:** \( 0 < P(A) < 1, 0 < P(B) < 1 \). **What to Show:** 1. If independent, \( P(A \cap B) = P(A)P(B) > 0 \); thus, not mutually exclusive. 2. If mutually exclusive, \( P(A \cap B) = 0 \) contradicts independence if both \( P(A) \) and \( P(B) \) are greater than 0. **Summary:** 1. If independent, not mutually exclusive. 2. If mutually exclusive, they are dependent. --- # Final Answers Summary ### **Question 7** - \( P(A_1) = 0.512 \) - \( P(A_2) = 0.512 \) ### **Question 8** 1. \( P(\text{at least one in October}) \approx 0.4063 \) 2. \( P(\text{exactly 4 in October}) \approx 0.000607 \) 3. \( P(\text{4 in same month}) \approx 0.00729 \) ### **Question 9** - Insufficient data for a numeric solution. ### **Question 10** 1. \( P(S_1 \cap S_2) = 0.8556 \) 2. \( P(S_2 \text{ down and } S_1 \text{ working}) = 0.0644 \) 3. \( P(S_1 \text{ works}|S_2 \text{ down}) = 0.85 \) ### **Question 11** - If independent, not mutually exclusive. - If mutually exclusive, they are dependent. ### **Question 12** - Multiple valid pairs exist satisfying \( P(A)P(B^c) = 0.25 \). ### **Question 13** - If independent, not mutually exclusive. - If mutually exclusive, they are dependent.

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